Will it be a White Christmas for You?


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As we enter the festive season, talk turns to the nights drawing in, Christmas shopping and speculation on whether there will there be any snow on the big day.

 In an attempt to answer that last question, we’ve used official Met Office data and analysed the past 25 years of winter weather to determine what conditions you are most likely to experience throughout this festive time of the year.

 This is the Barratt Homes Winter Weather Calculator.

Which region has the best chance of snow on Christmas Day?

To save you the trouble of selecting every region in the above calculator, the table below details the regions that have been blessed with the most white Christmases over the past 25 years.

Region Number of White Christmases Percentage likelihood of snow this year
Scotland 11 44%
North East 8 32%
South Wales 7 28%
Northern Ireland 6 24%
East Midlands 4 16%
North Wales 4 16%
North West 3 12%
South East 3 12%
West Midlands 3 12%
Yorkshire 3 12%
South West 2 8%

 

And the region that comes top is Scotland, with a total of eleven white Christmases. Given the data spans 25 years, recent history tells us that Scottish residents stand a whopping 44% chance of waking up to a winter wonderland upon Christmas Day.

Where has the most snow fallen throughout the festive period over the past 25 years?

Our second strand of research analyses the highest recorded depths of snowfall throughout the festive period (21st of December until the 4th of January) over the past 25 years by region.

And Scotland again comes out as the clear winner here. On Christmas day in 1995, a staggering depth of 43 centimetres of snow was recorded that remained settled until January  1st 1996. Based on the average height of an adult, at that depth, the snow would have come up to your knee!

Cars covered in snow

The table below details highest depth of snow recorded by region*:

Region Highest depth of snow recorded (cm)
Scotland 43cm
South West 20cm
North Wales 18cm
South East 16cm
East Midlands 13cm
East Anglia 11cm
North East 11cm
Northern Ireland 11cm
South Wales 11cm
West Midlands 11cm
Yorkshire 10cm
North West 9cm

*Over the festive period (21st December to 4th of January)

About Barratt Homes:

You could be enjoying a white Christmas in your new home with the help of Barratt Homes. We have amazing properties scattered across the UK. There might be a Barratt Home waiting for you around the corner!

Browse our catalogue of available developments by region or by local area. Take a look at some of our new properties in the South East (Kent, Essex, Sussex or Surrey), South West (Devon, Dorset or Cornwall), in the East Midlands or West Midlands, Yorkshire or Scotland (Aberdeenshire, Glasgow or Edinburgh) and the North of England (Lancashire, Greater Manchester, Northumberland or Durham).

With the help of some of our offers moving in can be more hassle free than you think!

Fair Use:

Do you want to share the above data and statistics? Please do! We just ask that you credit our original research by linking to this page.

How did we calculate this data?

The calculator uses historical data supplied by the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, presenting snowfall and snow depth data to uncover which regions had the best snow sightings during the most memorable years.

This application uses 25 years’ worth of data (starting in 1993) to calculate the percentage likelihood of snow in each region.

To work out the likelihood of a white Christmas, analysis considered how many times snow fell on Christmas eve and Christmas day and whether any snow was still settled on Christmas day. Analysed this way, if there was snow on the ground but no snowfall on either the 24th or the 25th of December, then this still counted as a white Christmas.

Please note that this prediction is not endorsed by the Met Office as an accurate weather forecast, and for the most up-to-date weather forecast and warnings you should visit www.metoffice.gov.uk or call 0370 900 0100.

If you are worried about the impact of snow or cold weather, you can find helpful advice and tips on the Met Office’s website.

Instagram data sourced through Crimson Hexagon.